I checked out the Belmont-Ohio game from Monday. Belmont won with a buzzer beater after Ohio came back from a double digit second half deficit. Belmont only returns one starter from last year. Two guys led them with 18 each - 6'6' senior guard/wing Ben Sheppard and 6'7" freshman Cade Tyson, whose brother Hunter is a senior starter for Clemson. Belmont has a tall overall lineup. Only one guy under 6'5" played for them - 6'0" freshman Ja'Kobi Gillespie. They pass the ball well and move without the ball effectively. Like the Paladins did Monday they look to shoot the three but did not have a great overall night - 28%. Ohio hit 45% of their threes. Despite good size the Bruins were outrebounded 34-30. Ohio was able to post up their big man effectively and the Ohio guards had decent drive penetration against Belmont's defenders, . Belmont was able to get some steals with their perimeter defense by jumping into the passing lanes.They also had 6 blocked shots and 17 assists, Ohio had no blocked shotss and 8 assists.
Belmont is #139 in the Pomeroy rankings, Ohio is #193, Furman is #68. Sagarin has Furman #85 and Belmont #119.
Pomeroy's numbers would show the Paladins as an 11 point favorite after adding in home court advantage, Sagarin would show a 6 point advantage for Furman.