• Mercer @ Furman (Feb. 5th)

 #24650  by DungeonRealm
 Thu Jan 30, 2020 1:44 pm
Only 8 regular season games left, they are all important now!
If Mercer defeats Citadel at home on Saturday they will come in as one of the hottest teams in the SoCon on a 6 game win streak.
 #24677  by apaladin
 Thu Jan 30, 2020 11:54 pm
Which doesn’t mean a whole lot. How many times in a row had we beaten VMI? Odds are with Mercer. Just sayin’
 #24681  by Roundball
 Fri Jan 31, 2020 5:53 am
apaladin wrote:
Thu Jan 30, 2020 11:54 pm
Which doesn’t mean a whole lot. How many times in a row had we beaten VMI? Odds are with Mercer. Just sayin’
I must have been dreaming at the end of the game on Wednesday night. I could have sworn that we beat VMI, again.
 #24682  by DungeonRealm
 Fri Jan 31, 2020 6:46 am
apaladin wrote:
Thu Jan 30, 2020 11:54 pm
Which doesn’t mean a whole lot. How many times in a row had we beaten VMI? Odds are with Mercer. Just sayin’
Was just stating as fact, Id rather be on our end of it then theirs
 #24685  by MNORM
 Fri Jan 31, 2020 9:55 am
apaladin wrote:
Thu Jan 30, 2020 11:54 pm
Which doesn’t mean a whole lot. How many times in a row had we beaten VMI? Odds are with Mercer. Just sayin’
The odds are not with Mercer. That's not how it works. If you flip a coin and it lands on heads nine consecutive times it doesn't mean the odds are increased that the 10th flip will be tails; it's still 50/50. We're a 90% predictor to win this game independent of past results.
 #24687  by soconjohn
 Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:21 am
Furman is at home...period...Doesn't mean Mercer can't win, but to say the odds are with Mercer with as talented a team as Furman has and the fact they are 60-11 at home since the start of the 2015-16 season would seem to imply the odds are more than slightly with Furman.
 #24693  by DungeonRealm
 Fri Jan 31, 2020 1:29 pm
soconjohn wrote:
Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:22 am
Now Furman can't shoot 3-of-25 from three again and win...Odds are extremely in favor of that not happening!

Indeed
Lyons will get at least 3 on his own, the record will be set next Wednesday bank on it!
FUKA61 liked this
 #24708  by gofurman
 Fri Jan 31, 2020 11:09 pm
MNORM wrote:
Fri Jan 31, 2020 9:55 am
apaladin wrote:
Thu Jan 30, 2020 11:54 pm
Which doesn’t mean a whole lot. How many times in a row had we beaten VMI? Odds are with Mercer. Just sayin’
The odds are not with Mercer. That's not how it works. If you flip a coin and it lands on heads nine consecutive times it doesn't mean the odds are increased that the 10th flip will be tails; it's still 50/50. We're a 90% predictor to win this game independent of past results.
THIS.

THERE. IS. NO. “ DUE.” THEORY

You wanna fly the airline that crashes every time because they are supposedly due for one safe landing? Or do you wanna fly the airline that has never crashed Bc they are “due” for a crash? I’ll fly the airline that never has had a crash
fupaladin01 liked this
 #24709  by Jasper
 Sat Feb 01, 2020 8:13 am
soconjohn wrote:
Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:22 am
Now Furman can't shoot 3-of-25 from three again and win...Odds are extremely in favor of that not happening!
We need to make 10-12 of them to win, I think. So, if we have another 12% shooting night, we need to shoot more of them in order to get to that point total. So, we would need to launch about a 100 of them. Of course that would necessitate expanding the 7 man rotation somewhat in order to prevent the shooting arms of some of the starters from falling off. It's doable though if we eliminate all that boring passing, dribbling, screening, etc.

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