fufanatic wrote: ↑Fri Dec 13, 2019 10:23 am
gofurman wrote: ↑Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:23 pm
The Jackal wrote: ↑Thu Dec 12, 2019 4:47 pm
FurmAlum wrote: ↑Thu Dec 12, 2019 3:47 pm
Davemeister wrote: ↑Thu Dec 12, 2019 9:53 am
In our first six games, DG looked like he was going to rewrite the record books. Then something happened.
What happened was the other teams figured out how to defend the FU offense, combined with more physical opponents, and for whatever reason, we just couldn't overcome it.
What I can't figure out was GA. State and VA. Tech were just as physical as Citadull and Wofart. Weren't they?
I really think we are making this too complicated.
Every team we played tried to load up the box against us. Against most teams (Samford, VMI, etc.) we just ran over them.
Against a few other decent defenses, we had to make throws. Sometimes we made enough of them (ETSU). Sometimes we didn't (Citadel and Wofford).
If you watch those games, though, we had guys open. We just struggled to get the ball to them. It really isn't about "figuring out" our offense, in my opinion. Teams just forced us to try and beat them with the pass. When we couldn't, we struggled.
Any run heavy team needs to be able to hit their passes. At times, this season, we didn't keep teams honest. A 60% completion percentage on a smaller number of passes and we'd have been just fine. We hit around 50%.
The only odd thing was those weren't that hard of passes to complete - some were simple out routes for 7 yards. Things we completed quite often early in the year.. then later in the year we overthrew the receiver by 3 yards or threw it in the dirt on occassion. That didn't happen in the first few games on the same throws... Was there more pressure on the throws later in the year? Yes, a little.
Still, on some of the throws late in the year there was no more pressure put on our QBs than early in the year and the throws were definitely "different" - weird,
I certainly get it if the QB (esp young one) is running for his life or under pressure. But some of the throws and routes were under little to no pressure and the same routes as in the early part of the season and were not nearly as accurate.
This is a great point. We weren't asking them to make across their body fade routes ... it was the simple passes that were 5-7 yards that weren't even close and sunk our chances.
It is and it isn't.
Dan Orlovsky did a bit the other day (I'll have to find the link) where he evaluated a bunch of throws by Carson Wentz that looked like "misses." On a lot of the throws, he's putting the ball where only his man can catch it. Sometimes the receiver is blanketed. Sometimes it looks like he's missing easy throws when he really isn't. Football is a game where most armchair QBs have no idea what they are looking at.
I've been interested in following Lamar Jackson this season. He's the best player in the NFL right now. He was not the best player in the NFL last year. In fact, many thought he was a bust. He was considered one of the worst starting QBs in the league.
Jackson has historically been a "run first" guy, but you can see vast improvements in his passing game from last year. His completion percentage has increased dramatically. His "bad throw" percentage has dropped. His improved throwing ability has aided his already solid rush attack.
So, in just one season a guy goes from being one of the league's worst QBs to essentially the runaway MVP. Sometimes it just takes a minute to get all the pieces working.
If you look at a kid like Grainger, he's already got the wheels. He's got the arm. He's got the poise (very few turnovers for a freshman QB). What needs to come along is the accuracy. If he figures that piece out, we are going to have an incredible player at QB.