Comparing polls and predictions to the FCS Committee

[gofurman]

I think this is relevant to knowing for future years as many of us ask which poll or predictive source is best:

( I will be back to update this later )

FIRST the list of who actually got in playoffs per FCS COMMITTEE:
Furman
Austin Peay
Central Connecticut
Albany
Southeast Mizzou
Illinois State
Nicholls
North Dakota
Monmouth
Holy Cross
UNI
San Diego
Southeastern Louisiana
Villanova
Wofford
KSU
Sac State
Montana State
Montana
Weber State
Central Arkansas
NDSU
JMU
SDSU

[gofurman]

I will come back soon and put AGS and NOBOWLS and COACHES and STATS vs this to see who was best.

However, AGS has been the best predictor since 2014 so regardless this year AGS is a strong one to look at.

I have been watching a while (2017 etc) and I know that AGS is great as a predictor. and Nobowls is very strong.

Not sure if Coaches and Stats

[gofurman]

NOBOWLS final guess:

He went 24/24 ! Absolute PERFECTION from NOBOWLS.. Dude is VERY good. "Since its inception in 2008, NoBowls has correctly predicted 215 of the 228 teams selected to participate in the FCS postseason." -

BOLD teams are correct - he got them all

Weber St. (Big Sky)
Monmouth (Big South)
James Madison (CAA)
N. Dakota St. (MVFC)
C. Conn. St. (NEC)
Austin Peay (OVC)
Holy Cross (Patriot)
San Diego (Pioneer)
Wofford (Southern)
Nicholls St. (Southland)

At-Large Bids
Albany (8-4)
C. Arkansas (9-3)
Furman (8-4)
Illinois St. (8-4)
Kennesaw St. (10-2)
Montana (9-3)
Montana St. (9-3)
North Dakota (7-4)
N. Iowa (8-4)
Sacramento St. (9-3)
SE Louisiana (7-4)
SE Missouri St. (9-3)
South Dakota St. (8-4)
Villanova (9-3)

[Bootie]

A little confused here... if bold is a correct prediction, why is Weber St, JMU and NDSU not bold? Those are the first ones that catch my eye, but they are all seeded teams and are in the nobowls final bracket.

[gofurman]

A little confused here... if bold is a correct prediction, why is Weber St, JMU and NDSU not bold? Those are the first ones that catch my eye, but they are all seeded teams and are in the nobowls final bracket.

Bootie it should ALL be bold. NO BOWLS got all 24 correct !!!!. Wow

You May have looked while I was updating it. It took me a minute to compare the lists

I will get to the others soon - I figure this is time of year to look this up so we know going forward. At this time of year the data is easier for me to locate

[gofurman]

ANY GIVEN SATURDAY POLL -

Wow. they hit 100% spot on. Given the AQs of San Diego and Holy Cross and the non-participation of IVY League they hit all players in the exact order as they got KSU in and Southern Illinois was left out

100% PERFECTION from AGS and NOBOWLS.

1 North Dakota State Bison 1850 74
2 James Madison Dukes 1776
3 Sac State Hornets 1652
4 Weber State Wildcats 1646
5 Montana State Bobcats 1548
6 Northern Iowa Panthers 1414
7 Montana Grizzlies 1381
8 Villanova Wildcats 1202
9 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 1133
10 Wofford Terriers 1120
11 Central Arkansas Bears 998
12 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 976
13 Illinois State Redbirds 896
14 Austin Peay Governors 851
15 Central Connecticut State Blue Devils 822
16 Monmouth Hawks 787
17 Furman Paladins 708
18 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 538
19 Nicholls State Colonels 505
20 Albany Great Danes 446
21 Dartmouth Big Green 293 - ( IVY INELIGIBLE FOR PLAYOFFS
22 Southeastern Louisiana Lions 280
23 Kennesaw State Owls 259
24 Southern Illinois Salukis 250
25 Yale Bulldogs 179 - ( IVY INELIGIBLE FOR PLAYOFFS


ORV:
26 Florida A&M Rattlers 133
27 San Diego Toreros 132 - AUTOMATIC QUALIFIER
28 North Carolina A&T Aggies 97
29 South Carolina State Bulldogs 59
30 Towson Tigers 51
31 Eastern Washington Eagles 33
32 Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks 12
33 New Hampshire Wildcats 11
34 Princeton Tigers 4
35 Southern Jaguars 3
36 Chattanooga Mocs 2
37 Sam Houston State Bearkats 2
38 McNeese State Cowboys 1

HOLY CROSS - AUTOMATIC QUALIFIER (un-ranked but AQ)