The above site after the ETSU game has FU a 43% chance of making the NCAA tournament. They give FU only an 18% chance of winning the SoCon tournament. They are predicting a 24-6 final regular season record. It also says IF FU reaches 27 wins, which means we would have to win the last 5 games plus 2 in the tournament they give FU a 98% chance of making the tournament.
TeamRankings.com
winning out but losing in the SoCon finals AND STILL making the NCAA's would be a pleasant and somewhat surprising outcome....
I believe it would be one of those scenarios where we would probably have the resume to make the tournament, but not the name recognition. Being ranked and beating Nova/Loyola could even the playing field a bit though. Hard to trust the committee, better just win the SoCon Tourney.
Agree, you got to give those deserving 14 loss teams in the VERY top heavy ACC a bid for example.fufanatic wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 4:29 pmI believe it would be one of those scenarios where we would probably have the resume to make the tournament, but not the name recognition. Being ranked and beating Nova/Loyola could even the playing field a bit though. Hard to trust the committee, better just win the SoCon Tourney.
There are two ways to reach 27 wins.apaladin wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 12:21 pmThe above site after the ETSU game has FU a 43% chance of making the NCAA tournament. They give FU only an 18% chance of winning the SoCon tournament. They are predicting a 24-6 final regular season record. It also says IF FU reaches 27 wins, which means we would have to win the last 5 games plus 2 in the tournament they give FU a 98% chance of making the tournament.
(1) win the remaining regular season games and lose in the SoCon tournament championship game or (2) lose 1 regular season game and win 3 in the tournament. With scenario (2) there is a 100% change of getting a NCAA bid. Scenario (1) allows a good chance but no guarantee. The 98% chance includes both possibilities.