WHATS LEFT IN THE SOCON-TOP 6 UNDECIDED

[apaladin]

Current standings and what’s left for each of the top 6 teams. Should be a fun next 10 days with lots of key matchups with all the top 6 spots up for grabs.
1. Chattanooga 12-3 Citadel, @UNCG, @VMI
2. UNCG. 11-4. @Mercer, UTC, Samford
3. Samford. 10-5. WCU, @VMI, @UNCG
4. Wofford. 9-6 ETSU, @WCU, Furman
5. ETSU. 9-6. @WC, Mercer, @Citadel
6. Furman. 8-7 VMI, Citadel, @ Wofford
IMHO I would rather play ETSU or UNCG the first game, rather than WC or Samford. Either way FU’s first game will be either the 6:00 or 8:30 game on Saturday.

[Louis Tully]

More than likely we are going to have to beat 3 of the 5 to win the tourney so order doesn't really matter.

[apaladin]

True but just think it would be tough to beat Samford 3 times in a row or playing WC the last game and then turning right around and play them the next game, of course WC would be in the same situation.

[PaladinPower]

The “tough to beat a team 3 times” has been debunked every basketball season around this time. The team that wins twice usually comes out on top in the 3rd game. So I’m out on wanting UNCG. Give us Bucky Ball or ETSU. Or WC if we win next weekend in Spartanburg.

[Louis Tully]

Agreed. May need someone else to eliminate UNCG. They are rough. Seem to have our number. We don’t match up well.

[tya1]

The tough to win three times in a season thing applies if the teams are evenly matched. The team that lost the first two times sometimes plays with more motivation The third time the earlier winner can be complacent. Sometimes, however, it means the two time winner just has a competitive advantage. We lost twice to UTC and UNCG because
they were effective at pressuring our guards. Can we make the needed adjustments if there is a third meeting?

[tya1]

Current standings and what’s left for each of the top 6 teams. Should be a fun next 10 days with lots of key matchups with all the top 6 spots up for grabs.
1. Chattanooga 12-3 Citadel, @UNCG, @VMI
2. UNCG. 11-4. @Mercer, UTC, Samford
3. Samford. 10-5. WCU, @VMI, @UNCG
4. Wofford. 9-6 ETSU, @WCU, Furman
5. ETSU. 9-6. @WC, Mercer, @Citadel
6. Furman. 8-7 VMI, Citadel, @ Wofford
IMHO I would rather play ETSU or UNCG the first game, rather than WC or Samford. Either way FU’s first game will be either the 6:00 or 8:30 game on Saturday.

Looking ahead a little - Wofford has not been the greatest home court team this year. They lost at home to UNCG by 2 but beat them on the road by 12. They lost at home to VMI by 7 then beat them on the road by 39. They lost at home to Chattanooga by 9, but took the Mocs to OT on the road in that loss.

[Sad Din]

woofy lost. if ETSU loses one more and Dins beat woofy, could b a tie for 4th

[tim]

Citadel loses by one at UTC. Last second shot went in but time had expired. This thing is wide open in Asheville. Wouldn't be surprised to see a play in (or both) come out of the pack.

[apaladin]

woofy lost. if ETSU loses one more and Dins beat woofy, could b a tie for 4th

Possible but not likely. ETSU has Mercer at home and at Citadel. FU will be favored over Citadel but not a gimme. Low chance at winning at WC. Doesn’t matter what WC has done vs. other they will play “out their mind” next Saturday. At this point it really doesn’t matter where FU finishes. 4,5 or 6 gonna be playing somebody Saturday night in Asheville. The goal was to avoid the playin game and that is 99% assured now. For it not to happen FU would have to lose to Citadel and Wofford and VMI would have to beat SU and UTC at home.

[FU Hoopla]

Furman wins 2

Samford loses 2

ETSU loses 1 or 2

Paladins get 3rd seed?

[apaladin]

Hard to ssy why we struggle so much vs. VMI when others pretty much don’t. Here is VMI’s point differential vs. the top 6 SoCon teams:
UTC minus 25 one to play.
UNCG minus 29
SAM minus 13 one to play
ETSU minus 22
WC minus 32
FU plus 5

[apaladin]

Furman wins 2

Samford loses 2

ETSU loses 1 or 2

Paladins get 3rd seed?

Delete

[stonemd]

Furman to come in 3rd place
Furman wins x2 and
Samford lose x2 and
ETSU loses x2

Furman 4th place
Furman wins x2
Samford loses x2
Est su loses x1

Furman 5 or 6th place lots of scenarios

Furman in 7th place
Furman loses x2
VMI wins x2

Since we could be 3rd - 7th seed our first game time (and days) as well as first opponent are undetermined.

[apaladin]

We will play either Samford or ETSU, Saturday night at 6 or 8:30. Where we finish really doesn’t matter. The wnner of the FU/WC game finishes 5th, the loser 6th. The cards have been dealt. Just win the next 2 and go to Asheville on a 4 game win streak.